Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal and Odisha hold the key for 2019 Lok Sabha elections, and it is in these three states that exit poll data show a wide variation in terms of seats to each contesting party. Times Now VMR survey predicts NDA to get 58 seats, a loss of 15 seats from 2014 in the state. The loss for the BJP is gain for the grand alliance with predicted 20 seats in the survey. However, three exit polls, Today’s Chanakya, Axis My India and IPSOS predict more than 60 seats for the BJP. Kumar Anshuman explains the possible reason behind such variance in UP exit polls numbers.
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