By seeing the ground reality of what is happening in the world – Europe, the UK is already in a recession, and the US is heading in that direction. But the question really is will India be decoupled or not? The reality is that the Dow is down 25% and the Indian markets are flat. The S&P 500 is down 23%, the Dow is 24% and NASDAQ is 31% and we are down with 14%.
Both the US and China are currently battling a slowdown. As the economy drives with the fundamentals , in such a scenario, when two of the biggest economies in the world are facing such economic downturn, fears of recession are looking more vibrant and if that happens, then there will be spill-over effects to affect India as well.
Not just the US, inflation pressure has been felt by almost all major economies of the world ever since two significant trade routes led by Russia and Ukraine had to be shut in the wake of the war. As a result, prices of key commodities like crude oil surged to record highs making countries shed significantly more for a barrel.
America's largest bank, JPMorgan Chase's CEO Jamie Dimon said that the US could tip into a recession in six to nine months from now. He cited runaway inflation, big interest rate hikes and the Russian invasion of Ukraine as the indicators of a potential recession. He also cited the unknown effects of the US Fed's quantitative easing policy.
These are very, very serious things which he thinks are likely to push the U.S. and the world — I mean, Europe is already in recession — and they're likely to put the U.S. in some kind of recession six to nine months from now,' Dimon said.
His comments come as the big U.S. banks are set to report their third-quarter earnings from Friday. So far this year, the benchmark S&P 500 index has lost about 24%, with all the three major U.S. indices trading in bear market territory.
Closer to home, however, the economy continues to grow and the j.
By seeing the ground reality of what is happening in the world – Europe, the UK is already in a recession, and the US is heading in that direction. But the question really is will India be decoupled or not? The reality is that the Dow is down 25% and the Indian markets are flat. The S&P 500 is down 23%, the Dow is 24% and NASDAQ is 31% and we are down with 14%.
Both the US and China are currently battling a slowdown. As the economy drives with the fundamentals , in such a scenario, when two of the biggest economies in the world are facing such economic downturn, fears of recession are looking more vibrant and if that happens, then there will be spill-over effects to affect India as well.
Not just the US, inflation pressure has been felt by almost all major economies of the world ever since two significant trade routes led by Russia and Ukraine had to be shut in the wake of the war. As a result, prices of key commodities like crude oil surged to record highs making countries shed significantly more for a barrel.
America's largest bank, JPMorgan Chase's CEO Jamie Dimon said that the US could tip into a recession in six to nine months from now. He cited runaway inflation, big interest rate hikes and the Russian invasion of Ukraine as the indicators of a potential recession. He also cited the unknown effects of the US Fed's quantitative easing policy.
These are very, very serious things which he thinks are likely to push the U.S. and the world — I mean, Europe is already in recession — and they're likely to put the U.S. in some kind of recession six to nine months from now,' Dimon said.
His comments come as the big U.S. banks are set to report their third-quarter earnings from Friday. So far this year, the benchmark S&P 500 index has lost about 24%, with all the three major U.S. indices trading in bear market territory.
Closer to home, however, the economy continues to grow and the j
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Zero can sometimes be good!
While there is a risk of global recession, India has zero probability of slipping into recession.
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While there is a risk of global recession, India has zero probability of slipping into recession.
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1.8% of total population of India has been affected by the disease so far. We have been able to contain the spread of the infection to under 2% of the population: Health Ministry on Covid-19.
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Less than 2% total population of India affected by Covid, 98 per cent still vulnerable: Govt
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Our already struggling economy will take a major hit once again as the value of the Indian rupee against the American dollar has reached a lifetime low.
Modi ji, is this how you plan on building a $5 trillion economy?
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#Threat_of_economic_recession #Minister_for_Small_and_Medium_Enterprises #Narayan_Rane #modi_government #economic_slowdown
India is facing the threat of economic recession. Union Minister for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises Narayan Rane says that the government is also expecting an economic slowdown in the country.
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Threat | Economic Recession | India |
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As per Dan Fineman, co-head of equity strategy-Asia Pacific at Credit Suisse, India has a very robust economic cycle and a good structural outlook in an environment where developed markets are heading into a slowdown. A slowdown of the magnitude that we're expecting for the US actually could be pretty good for Asia.
The positive returns for India given upbeat growth in earnings adding that the main risk to the Indian growth story would be if the US recession is deeper than anticipated.
“As per the report, we can probably expect positive returns for India ... as it has good earnings growth, there isn't a strong argument for the market to be derating,” he said. “If the recession in the US is deeper than we’re anticipating, then that would be quite negative for global equities and emerging markets.”
On China, Fineman mentioned that it is still among the best choices for equity markets given cheaper valuations. “Even after the great rally they’ve had in November, the multiples are still at a deep discount relative to the rest of the region and global equities,” he said.
As per J P Morgan, the resultant slowing in aggregate demand could see the U.S. economy shed over one million jobs by mid-2024, which could then see the Fed start easing rates by 50bps per quarter starting in the second quarter of 2024.
Financial conditions are likely to tighten further, consumers are experiencing a significant negative sentiment shock, energy and food supply disruptions have worsened and the outlook for foreign growth has deteriorated. All these factors will likely contribute to the expected downturn.
Today's Headline in NewsHours
0:00 Intro
2:12 #Meta building virtual world open to app makers
2:50 RBI Governor says next financial crisis to come from private cryptos
3:14 #European antitrust regulators to probe Broadcom’s $61 Billion VMware bid
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नोटेबंदी ले आया मंदी |
स्टेट बैंक ऑफ़ इंडिया के अनुसार नोटेबंदी के वजह से भारत में मंदी हो गई है, लेकिन सरकार क्यों नहीं के आकड़ों पर भरोसा करती?
जानिए के लिए देखिये खबर के पीछे की खबर के इस भाग को |
According to a survey by State Bank of India, India is suffering from recession due to the Note Ban but the government is not ready to accept the SBI data.
Watch this video to find out....
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